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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 21:00:35 GMT
sky
| ? | Schia | Derz | ptsd | doubting my earlier tr on them. probably not surv b/c they came in guns blazing
| OM
| ? | ? | ? | ? | can see him as cult/surv but not sk/maf.
| ddlc
| OS Vig | Verti | Idle | Idle | conf town
| Scorr
| ? | VP
| Derz | Derz | me | ptsd
| Roleblocker | Erry | Schia | OM | uncced p much conf town
| Kaif
| Macho Doc
| Litt | ddlc | Schia | obv town
| Peng
| Macho Doc
| Derz
| Derz | Schia | eye wonder who is the 3rd Doc
| quo
| Tourist | Schia | Schia | Schia | still thinking about this slot. Schia all 3 nights is a very real but also fakeable possibility. if scum, I am not sure what faction. possibly maf but I have done 0 partner speculation
| Derz
| ? | Schia | ddlc | Schia | most likely one to flip Town in the non-pr claims pool
| Alex
| ? | ? | ? | ? | probably scum from poe. not sk bc he doesnt miss (joke)
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:03:39 GMT
so basically either sk is dead or sk is om I will agree up to this point and also say that voting OM is probably the strongest play for Mafia rn (granted he is not Mafia). why is that i would think with this many clears maf would want to maximize potential nks onto town |
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 21:12:37 GMT
Crazy thought. Voting Tourist rn would force mafia (and sk if they r alive) to have to target outside of the town pr pool as THIS NIGHT is the LAST NIGHT BEFORE CULTROD's wincon is activated. All non-cult factions have self interest in not insta-losing N5. This greatly increases chance of crosskill(s) and protects town prs. Downside: a town will die forever.
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 21:13:14 GMT
I will agree up to this point and also say that voting OM is probably the strongest play for Mafia rn (granted he is not Mafia). why is that i would think with this many clears maf would want to maximize potential nks onto town SK can kill/vote Mafia. Town can only vote Mafia. |
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:17:56 GMT
sk can also kill prs tho
or even if they look for maf in the tourist pool they could just miss
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:21:08 GMT
wait something doesn't add up
ignoring possible cultrod for a second since I don't think it matters
if om is sk
his win chance is 0% since he is identified regardless of if he dies today or not
mafia + town winchance add up to 100% (i.e. zero sum)
it can't be both in town's interest and maf's interest to kill sk om since that win chance is going to slide one way or the other
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:21:46 GMT
I guess we could try bartering with om LMAO
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:23:05 GMT
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:24:22 GMT
budget schia alert
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Post by quojova on Jul 28, 2021 21:42:00 GMT
gtg
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Post by OM~! on Jul 28, 2021 22:51:58 GMT
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Post by OM~! on Jul 28, 2021 22:52:10 GMT
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Post by OM~! on Jul 28, 2021 22:53:13 GMT
There's been one nk two nights in a row
I was roleblocked once
This theory is inherently flawed at the first step
schia derz peng
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Post by Alexander489 on Jul 28, 2021 23:28:43 GMT
HI I AM HERE I AM MACHO MAN RANDY SAVAGE DOC. N1 Spiderz every other night penguin
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 23:48:52 GMT
HI I AM HERE I AM MACHO MAN RANDY SAVAGE DOC. N1 Spiderz every other night penguin bruh u docced the macho doc claim that is macho |
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 23:50:47 GMT
Vote PenguinD
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Post by passthesaltdude on Jul 28, 2021 23:54:54 GMT
Why vote penguin over Alex |
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Post by passthesaltdude on Jul 28, 2021 23:56:04 GMT
Unvote OMIf OM is SK I can just roleblock him and it’ll be fine.
but Scorrch+Alex seems very likely from that weird shift onto Penguin D
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 23:56:45 GMT
sky
| ? | Schia | Derz | ptsd | poe probably not town
| OM
| ? | Schia
| Derz | Peng | can see him as cult/surv but not sk/maf.
| ddlc
| OS Vig | Verti | Idle | Idle | conf town
| Scorr
| Tourist
| VP
| Derz | Derz | me | ptsd
| Roleblocker | Erry | Schia | OM | uncced p much conf town
| Kaif
| Macho Doc
| Litt | ddlc | Schia | 67% Town
| Peng
| Macho Doc
| Derz
| Derz | Schia | the impostor
| quo
| Tourist | Schia | Schia | Schia | could b anything Honestly
| Derz
| ? | Schia | ddlc | Schia | most likely one to flip Town in the non-pr claims pool
| Alex
| Macho Doc
| Derz | Peng | Peng
| trolling
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Update:^ |
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 23:57:02 GMT
Why vote penguin over Alex ? |
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 23:58:06 GMT
Unvote OMIf OM is SK I can just roleblock him and it’ll be fine.
but Scorrch+Alex seems very likely from that weird shift onto Penguin D I have been voting penguin for now 3 days inarow because I think they are lying. |
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 28, 2021 23:59:14 GMT
If Alex is Mafia I do not think he is fake claiming that he docced the Macho Doctor.
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Post by passthesaltdude on Jul 28, 2021 23:59:56 GMT
Why vote penguin over Alex ? Kaif-Penguin-Alex are all doc claims. By voting penguin that means you believe that they are least likely to be doc. And i’d love to know why. The only situation I see Penguin as scum is if like, N2 scum tried to kill penguin the Macho doctor but since Penguin was also scum Alex’s doctor worked on Penguin and penguin didn’t die because of them (but if scum tried to kill penguin and it failed I feel like they would’ve either nightkilled or pushed penguin) and if penguin is lying are they mafia or solo |
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Post by ScorrchingTheaph on Jul 29, 2021 0:01:51 GMT
Kaif-Penguin-Alex are all doc claims. By voting penguin that means you believe that they are least likely to be doc. And i’d love to know why. The only situation I see Penguin as scum is if like, N2 scum tried to kill penguin the Macho doctor but since Penguin was also scum Alex’s doctor worked on Penguin and penguin didn’t die because of them (but if scum tried to kill penguin and it failed I feel like they would’ve either nightkilled or pushed penguin) and if penguin is lying are they mafia or solo (but if scum tried to kill penguin and it failed I feel like they would’ve either nightkilled or pushed penguin) Going down this hypothetical, they would have been docced again by town!Alex |
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Post by passthesaltdude on Jul 29, 2021 0:03:31 GMT
Also I just don’t like how Scorrch has been pushing the narrative of like “Penguin Doc claim is fake, it’s 100% fake, can the real doc claim for real” and now that there is a doc claim with alex it feels really forced
but also why would alex as scum claim doctor knowing there were two doctor claims since that’s a death wish unless
1- Scorrch is partners with alex and trying to get penguin voted out
2- Alex hasn’t read the game, and that’s why he claimed doc and that’s why he claimed doctor on penguin.
(2 is very likely tbh)
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