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Post by grendel on Jan 25, 2021 3:29:30 GMT
Lol, I thought that Litt was bussing scum, so i tracked them last night. Draw back is I cant use a night action tonight.
I chose track over cop b/c i figured that if mafia picked an investigative immunity it would have been god father.
I guess I can atleast vertify Ch7's role block cliam as I didn't see Litt move last night.
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Post by grendel on Jan 25, 2021 3:30:47 GMT
whats a psychotrooper exactly?
-/-/-/-/
No kill last night means Litt scum right?
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 3:32:40 GMT
threadreads so far on bath are preliminarily: scum: me, quo,az,grendel, ptsd town: chap,flush if bath is town then it's very very likely that chap/flush has a scum. can that really be true what prompted this btw |
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Post by grendel on Jan 25, 2021 3:33:31 GMT
good morning
i docced litt
Or Litt was intended to be the night kill. In which case Ch7 is scum. |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 3:34:31 GMT
F2f I guess could just be an overwhelmed partner to Bath whom he didnt expect to slank so hard. if bath is bussed scum then he's being bussed by Litt. Almost came at a time where they could've tipped the scales elsewhere instead of burying into thier buddy. Quo was a hard TR by Bath in the early game, which is a really gutsy thing for scum to do to a buddy. also what prompted this |
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Post by grendel on Jan 25, 2021 3:35:10 GMT
No no, Litt didnt move so Ch7 _did_ succesfully rb them.
I dont think scum get muti-tasking in this set-up right?
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 3:39:11 GMT
ok reread over
conclusions:
grendel is less dissociated from bath than I remember. EoD1 has the possibility of being a "I've been trying to get people off bath for a while but it isn't working so I'll just go on him"
ptsd is more dissociated than I remember from the yellowpost. I would imagine throwing your partner a scumread in a situation like that would be unlikely. It's basically only one data point though
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Post by grendel on Jan 25, 2021 3:44:35 GMT
F2f I guess could just be an overwhelmed partner to Bath whom he didnt expect to slank so hard. if bath is bussed scum then he's being bussed by Litt. Almost came at a time where they could've tipped the scales elsewhere instead of burying into thier buddy. Quo was a hard TR by Bath in the early game, which is a really gutsy thing for scum to do to a buddy. also what prompted this Because there was dead air on the bath wagon which points to mafia as a whole (not just bath) letting it happen. in that case I think that Litt may have been on the wagon early for distancing purposes, but wasn't able to maneuver comfortably off over the course of the day. Otherwise it could be F2F who was unable to be active enough to divert pressure elsewhere. I guess PTSD could be a possibly as well, but he would have been distancing himself from a buddy without being influencual enough to get much town-cred from the flip. |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 3:44:41 GMT
Default: 16.67%
AlmostZero: 2%
litteleven: 3%
ForgotToFlush: 4% (PSYCHOFLUSH)
chapter seven: 10%
passthesaltdude: 36%
grendel: 45%
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 3:49:53 GMT
whats a psychotrooper exactly? -/-/-/-/ No kill last night means Litt scum right? actually this raises litt's scumchance fairly significantly but I'm not going to worry about it until we get all claims in |
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Post by grendel on Jan 25, 2021 3:52:03 GMT
Ch7 is conf!town to me since they wouldn't have wasted a night action to rb one spefic townie + thier RB is confirmed legit to me.
Would've made much more sense to try and kill, or to use a investigative immunity ablity.
Granted this is only if scum dont get muti-tasking.
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 3:57:51 GMT
Ch7 is conf!town to me since they wouldn't have wasted a night action to rb one spefic townie + thier RB is confirmed legit to me. Would've made much more sense to try and kill, or to use a investigative immunity ablity. Granted this is only if scum dont get muti-tasking i have no idea how multitasking would work exactly but it doesn't make sense to me that they would get that ability without us knowing so I'm going to assume they don't i feel kinda dumb now, chap was locktown ever since Litt confirmed the nympho didn't go through (assuming no ptsd shenanigans) |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 4:00:41 GMT
Default: 16.67% AlmostZero: 2% litteleven: 3% ForgotToFlush: 4% (PSYCHOFLUSH) chapter seven: 10% passthesaltdude: 36% grendel: 45% so my no-nonsense brain produced this probability list off of bath connections but my emotional brain doesn't really think grendel is scum (maybe flip him and ptsd?), chap is locktown, and litt scum is significantly more likely that got outdated very quickly |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 4:06:49 GMT
whats a psychotrooper exactly? -/-/-/-/ No kill last night means Litt scum right? actually this raises litt's scumchance fairly significantly but I'm not going to worry about it until we get all claims in I guess I might as well worry about it now, hopefully ptsd's action doesn't mess with any of this so the three possibilities are: -Litt is scum -Scum hit litt -Scum used a non-kill action how likely are each of these? I feel like I have a reasonable sense for roughly how likely the first two are but I have absolutely no idea how to evaluate the likelihood of the third one question I have is smallworldz, would the drawback for a scum nightkilling be significantly smaller/nonexistent compared to a town nightkilling? it seems obvious that it would be but I've just been assuming that until now |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 4:11:24 GMT
so regardless of whether or not I think ptsd or grendel has a higher chance of being scum (which I am still working out) there is no conceivable way I allow ptsd to live at lylo while there is a theoretically possible world in which grendel has an actual towncase at lylo other question I have for smallworldz is if we can pm you for drawbacks on possible night actions we could do tonight during the day phase |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 4:15:13 GMT
Ch7 is conf!town to me since they wouldn't have wasted a night action to rb one spefic townie + thier RB is confirmed legit to me. Would've made much more sense to try and kill, or to use a investigative immunity ablity. Granted this is only if scum dont get muti-tasking i have no idea how multitasking would work exactly but it doesn't make sense to me that they would get that ability without us knowing so I'm going to assume they don't i feel kinda dumb now, chap was locktown ever since Litt confirmed the nympho didn't go through (assuming no ptsd shenanigans) I keep thinking each post I write will be my last post I remembered that chap could be scum who rbed litt so he is not locktown he is HEAVY towncore though, because I tred him already and scum rbing here is just ?? |
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 4:17:54 GMT
Default: 16.67% AlmostZero: 2% litteleven: 3% ForgotToFlush: 4% (PSYCHOFLUSH) chapter seven: 10% passthesaltdude: 36% grendel: 45% so my no-nonsense brain produced this probability list off of bath connections but my emotional brain doesn't really think grendel is scum (maybe flip him and ptsd?), chap is locktown, and litt scum is significantly more likely that got outdated very quickly This is minor but I was looking back at my posts for any other silly mistakes and would like to clarify that "maybe flip him and ptsd" means flip them on the list, not as in "vote them out" ok goodbye |
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:18:01 GMT
alright back
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:19:23 GMT
right off the top of my head i think this is a good look for litt and quojova
idt either of them acts the way they did towards partner bath
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:20:49 GMT
chappie was so abysmally wrong on bath that for me he's on the periphery of instakill territory
his defense of bath was pretty linear and was a brazen misdirection of attention
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:22:01 GMT
chappie this is a microbrain take
did you think I was just going to afk for 72 whole hours
First off nothing micro bout me
Second off no I'm saying would you have reacted the way you did if there were 0 votes on you and 1 vote on you, than you did with 2 votes on you.
You seem far more aggressive which is the flush I'm used to playing with now that you have 2 votes on you with a potential 3rd.
However I will say that there is something I skimmed over with and only hit me now
litteleven seems kinda Lynch happy. Why did you bring up the idea of a Policy vote for 1. And two why would you want to Policy Flush over PTSD/AZ. Especially considering Flush is / was active at that time why were you quick to jump. You were quick to agree to my admitted not the strongest reasoning for lynching Flush, yet I've never once seen you mention that you had a Sr / sl on flush until rn
in this one post he tried to push me, litt, az and ptsd all at once
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:24:44 GMT
pass and arizona also look good to me but not as good as litt or quo
if there's a busser i think it's within these two
otherwise
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:29:51 GMT
...otherwise
grendel/chappie should just be game
we have enough days to get rid of them both
everyone just needs to focus on using their actions to clear everybody else
scum cant stop everything with one action per night
vote chappie
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Post by ForgotToFlush on Jan 25, 2021 4:31:55 GMT
...otherwise
grendel/chappie should just be game
we have enough days to get rid of them both
everyone just needs to focus on using their actions to clear everybody else
scum cant stop everything with one action per night
vote chappie
somehow both of them instantly jumped to thinking litt was scum after last day
so there is the chance that im way off base and these two are just galaxy brain players who are both in sync
but both of them independently arriving to the same conclusion like that is throwing me for a loop
like what exactly are you seeing there
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Post by quojova on Jan 25, 2021 4:33:20 GMT
...otherwise
grendel/chappie should just be game
we have enough days to get rid of them both
everyone just needs to focus on using their actions to clear everybody else
scum cant stop everything with one action per night
vote chappie
somehow both of them instantly jumped to thinking litt was scum after last day
so there is the chance that im way off base and these two are just galaxy brain players who are both in sync
but both of them independently arriving to the same conclusion like that is throwing me for a loop
like what exactly are you seeing there
thoughts on the likelihood of chap choosing to rb as scum? |
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